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Application of Multilayer Perceptron for Forecasting of Selected IIPs of India – An Empirical Analysis

Dipankar Das1 , Awanish Kumar Tripathi2 , Ayushi Shah3 , Samarth Mehta4

Section:Research Paper, Product Type: Journal Paper
Volume-6 , Issue-11 , Page no. 400-406, Nov-2018

CrossRef-DOI:   https://doi.org/10.26438/ijcse/v6i11.400406

Online published on Nov 30, 2018

Copyright © Dipankar Das, Awanish Kumar Tripathi, Ayushi Shah, Samarth Mehta . This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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IEEE Style Citation: Dipankar Das, Awanish Kumar Tripathi, Ayushi Shah, Samarth Mehta, “Application of Multilayer Perceptron for Forecasting of Selected IIPs of India – An Empirical Analysis,” International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering, Vol.6, Issue.11, pp.400-406, 2018.

MLA Style Citation: Dipankar Das, Awanish Kumar Tripathi, Ayushi Shah, Samarth Mehta "Application of Multilayer Perceptron for Forecasting of Selected IIPs of India – An Empirical Analysis." International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering 6.11 (2018): 400-406.

APA Style Citation: Dipankar Das, Awanish Kumar Tripathi, Ayushi Shah, Samarth Mehta, (2018). Application of Multilayer Perceptron for Forecasting of Selected IIPs of India – An Empirical Analysis. International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering, 6(11), 400-406.

BibTex Style Citation:
@article{Das_2018,
author = {Dipankar Das, Awanish Kumar Tripathi, Ayushi Shah, Samarth Mehta},
title = {Application of Multilayer Perceptron for Forecasting of Selected IIPs of India – An Empirical Analysis},
journal = {International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering},
issue_date = {11 2018},
volume = {6},
Issue = {11},
month = {11},
year = {2018},
issn = {2347-2693},
pages = {400-406},
url = {https://www.ijcseonline.org/full_paper_view.php?paper_id=3177},
doi = {https://doi.org/10.26438/ijcse/v6i11.400406}
publisher = {IJCSE, Indore, INDIA},
}

RIS Style Citation:
TY - JOUR
DO = {https://doi.org/10.26438/ijcse/v6i11.400406}
UR - https://www.ijcseonline.org/full_paper_view.php?paper_id=3177
TI - Application of Multilayer Perceptron for Forecasting of Selected IIPs of India – An Empirical Analysis
T2 - International Journal of Computer Sciences and Engineering
AU - Dipankar Das, Awanish Kumar Tripathi, Ayushi Shah, Samarth Mehta
PY - 2018
DA - 2018/11/30
PB - IJCSE, Indore, INDIA
SP - 400-406
IS - 11
VL - 6
SN - 2347-2693
ER -

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Abstract

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is an important indicator and a univariate time series data in nature. In the present study, the authors endeavored to develop forecasting models for twenty three (23) selected IIPs of India. The models were developed using Multilayer Perceptron. The study focused at (i) development of forecasting models, (ii) visualization of them, and (iii) analyzing the accuracies of the developed models. The study showed a mixed result with approximately twenty two percent (22%) i.e. five (5) out of twenty three (23) of the IIPs under study gave very good forecasting accuracy in terms of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE less than five), approximately twenty six percent (26%) i.e. six (6) out of twenty three (23) of the IIPs under study gave good forecasting accuracy (MAPE greater than or equal to five and MAPE less than ten) and approximately thirteen percent (13%) i.e. three (3) out of twenty three (23) of the IIPs under study gave moderate forecasting accuracy (MAPE greater than or equal to ten & MAPE less than twelve).

Key-Words / Index Term

Multilayer Perceptron, Index of Industrial Production, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, Forecasting, Time Series

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